Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-15 0.003438 0.003607 0.003780 0.003970 0.004174 0.004385 0.004622
2025-06-22 0.003102 0.003350 0.003612 0.003914 0.004250 0.004616 0.005045
2025-06-29 0.002922 0.003216 0.003537 0.003916 0.004352 0.004842 0.005437
2025-07-06 0.002709 0.003025 0.003376 0.003799 0.004297 0.004871 0.005587
2025-07-13 0.002602 0.002942 0.003328 0.003802 0.004372 0.005044 0.005906
2025-07-20 0.002540 0.002906 0.003328 0.003856 0.004505 0.005287 0.006314
2025-07-27 0.002439 0.002817 0.003260 0.003821 0.004523 0.005385 0.006544
2025-08-03 0.002353 0.002743 0.003204 0.003796 0.004550 0.005491 0.006782
2025-08-10 0.002274 0.002672 0.003148 0.003768 0.004567 0.005583 0.007003
2025-08-17 0.002245 0.002660 0.003163 0.003827 0.004697 0.005823 0.007432
2025-08-24 0.002184 0.002607 0.003123 0.003814 0.004731 0.005935 0.007688
2025-08-31 0.002123 0.002550 0.003077 0.003788 0.004745 0.006021 0.007910
2025-09-07 0.002049 0.002475 0.003006 0.003729 0.004714 0.006043 0.008042
2025-09-14 0.001982 0.002408 0.002943 0.003679 0.004690 0.006075 0.008191
2025-09-21 0.001942 0.002374 0.002921 0.003681 0.004739 0.006208 0.008494
2025-09-28 0.001860 0.002282 0.002820 0.003573 0.004629 0.006110 0.008442
2025-10-05 0.001826 0.002253 0.002801 0.003576 0.004675 0.006237 0.008739
2025-10-12 0.001812 0.002250 0.002817 0.003626 0.004789 0.006467 0.009209
2025-10-19 0.001768 0.002205 0.002774 0.003594 0.004783 0.006518 0.009394
2025-10-26 0.001730 0.002167 0.002740 0.003571 0.004789 0.006586 0.009610
2025-11-02 0.001692 0.002128 0.002704 0.003545 0.004788 0.006643 0.009810
2025-11-09 0.001684 0.002130 0.002724 0.003599 0.004909 0.006892 0.010344
2025-11-16 0.001654 0.002100 0.002698 0.003587 0.004928 0.006983 0.010612